Our pick
Away Win
xG
0.8 – 1.9
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
45%
The model gives Porto a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for Moreirense and 21% for a draw. That is well above the 31% away-win norm in this competition, which is why it is the strongest read. Porto have won all of their last six, though the model already weights recent form.
Moreirense
Average
Porto
Elite
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +15 | 21 | |
| 2 | 7 | +15 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | +9 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | +7 | 15 | |
| 5 | 7 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | +2 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 0 | 8 | |
| 10 | 7 | -2 | 8 | |
| 11 | 7 | -4 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | -6 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | +2 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | -3 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | 4 | |
| 16 | 7 | -10 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | -13 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | -7 | 2 |
0
Moreirense
1
Draws
9
Porto