Italy vs Greece prediction, UEFA European Championship
Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
78.8%
xG
1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
48%
Form
Full stats →
ItalyWDWLW
GreeceDDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedItaly favoured at 43%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.33 goals for Italy and 1.02 for Greece, giving 43% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.33 - 1.02
- Clean sheet chance: Italy 36%, Greece 26%
Match result
1X2Italy42.8%
Draw29.9%
Greece27.4%
Model rating
All ratings →6.1
Italy
Above average
6.5
Greece
Above average
ItalyLast 10 gamesGreece2.00Points per game1.40
1.6Goals scored per game1.0
1.0Goals conceded per game0.9
30%Over 2.5 goals40%
50%Both teams scored40%
40%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 5 meetings3
Italy
2
Draws
0
Greece
- 7 Jun 26Greece 0-1 Italy
- 12 Oct 19Italy 2-0 Greece
- 8 Jun 19Greece 0-3 Italy
- 19 Nov 08Greece 1-1 Italy
- 30 May 90Italy 0-0 Greece