France vs Italy prediction, UEFA European Championship Qualifying
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
79.3%
xG
1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →
FranceWDWWL
ItalyWDWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedFrance favoured at 56%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.94 goals for France and 1.12 for Italy, giving 56% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.94 - 1.12
- Clean sheet chance: France 33%, Italy 14%
Match result
1X2France55.5%
Draw23.8%
Italy20.7%
Model rating
All ratings →6.5
France
Above average
6.1
Italy
Above average
FranceLast 10 gamesItaly2.20Points per game2.00
2.1Goals scored per game1.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.0
40%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored50%
50%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
France
3
Draws
2
Italy
- 2 Oct 26France 1-1 Italy
- 17 Nov 24Italy 1-3 France
- 6 Sept 24France 1-3 Italy
- 1 Jun 18France 3-1 Italy
- 1 Sept 16Italy 1-3 France