Mexico vs Ecuador prediction, International Friendlies
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
77.3%
xG
1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
45%
Form
Full stats →
MexicoLLDDL
EcuadorLLWDLMatch analysis
Model generatedMexico favoured at 48%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.39 goals for Mexico and 0.88 for Ecuador, giving 48% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.39 - 0.88
- Clean sheet chance: Mexico 42%, Ecuador 25%
Match result
1X2Mexico47.8%
Draw29.5%
Ecuador22.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.3
Mexico
Average
5.7
Ecuador
Above average
MexicoLast 10 gamesEcuador1.70Points per game1.50
1.5Goals scored per game1.1
1.0Goals conceded per game1.0
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
30%Both teams scored40%
50%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Mexico
4
Draws
3
Ecuador
- 30 Jun 26Mexico 2-0 Ecuador
- 14 Oct 25Mexico 1-1 Ecuador
- 30 Jun 24Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
- 5 Jun 22Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
- 27 Oct 21Mexico 2-3 Ecuador