Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
58%
The model projects 2.39 goals for Belgium and 0.98 for Turkey, giving 68% for the home win, 19% for the draw and 13% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Belgium
Above average
Turkey
Average
4
Belgium
3
Draws
3
Turkey