Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.0 – 1.7
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
53%
The model projects 1.02 goals for Austria and 1.66 for Spain, giving 22% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 52% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Austria
Above average
Spain
Above average
2
Austria
1
Draws
5
Spain