Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
53%
Back Spain or the draw (1X) at 78%, against a 72% norm in this competition. The model gives Spain a 52% win on 1.66 expected goals to Austria's 1.02. The gap over the norm is what makes this the strongest read.
Spain
Above average
Austria
Above average
5
Spain
1
Draws
2
Austria