Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
45%
Home or Draw (1X) is the model's strongest read at 77%, above the 72% norm for this competition. Mexico are projected at 1.39 goals to Ecuador's 0.88, with a 48% home win. Mexico's recent form has run cold, so treat this as a lean, not a lock.
Mexico
Average
Ecuador
Above average
3
Mexico
4
Draws
3
Ecuador