Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.1 – 1.0
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
56%
The model projects 2.13 goals for Spain and 0.97 for Austria, giving 63% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 15% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Spain
Above average
Austria
Above average
5
Spain
1
Draws
2
Austria