Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
45%
The model's strongest read is Mexico or a draw (1X) at 77%, above the 72% norm for this competition. Mexico are rated 48% to win outright, with Ecuador at 23%. Mexico's recent dip in form is already partly priced in, so this is a lean, not a guarantee.
Mexico
Average
Ecuador
Above average
3
Mexico
4
Draws
3
Ecuador