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Croatia vs Spain prediction, UEFA European Championship

UEFA European ChampionshipFull time

Croatia

2-1

Tue, 21 Jun

Spain

Model's readBordeaux
1 13%X 21%2 65%

Our pick

Away Win

65.1%

xG

0.9 – 2.1

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

51%

Form

Full stats →
CroatiaLLLWL
SpainWWWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Spain favoured at 65%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 0.86 goals for Croatia and 2.09 for Spain, giving 13% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 65% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 0-2 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 0.86 - 2.09
  • Clean sheet chance: Croatia 12%, Spain 42%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Croatia v Spain

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Croatia13.5%
Draw21.5%
Spain65.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.0

Croatia

Average

6.8

Spain

Above average

CroatiaLast 10 gamesSpain
1.20Points per game3.00
1.2Goals scored per game2.2
2.4Goals conceded per game0.6
80%Over 2.5 goals60%
70%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets50%
20%Failed to score0%

Recent results

CroatiaLLLWL
  • 6 OctHSpain1-2
  • 3 OctHEngland0-7
  • 29 SeptASpain1-4
  • 26 SeptACzech Republic2-1
  • 2 JulAPortugal1-2
  • 27 JunHGhana2-1
SpainWWWWW
  • 6 OctACroatia2-1
  • 3 OctHCzech Republic3-1
  • 29 SeptHCroatia4-1
  • 26 SeptAEngland3-2
  • 19 JulHArgentina1-0
  • 14 JulAFrance2-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2

Croatia

2

Draws

6

Spain

  • 6 Oct 26Croatia 1-2 Spain
  • 29 Sept 26Spain 4-1 Croatia
  • 15 Jun 24Spain 3-0 Croatia
  • 18 Jun 23Croatia 0-0 Spain
  • 28 Jun 21Croatia 3-3 Spain
Every meeting between these two →