Italy vs France prediction, FIFA World Cup
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
72.8%
xG
1.1 – 1.5
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
ItalyWDWLW
FranceWDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedFrance favoured at 46%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.14 goals for Italy and 1.54 for France, giving 27% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 46% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.14 - 1.54
- Clean sheet chance: Italy 21%, France 32%
Match result
1X2Italy27.2%
Draw27.3%
France45.6%
Model rating
All ratings →6.1
Italy
Above average
6.5
France
Above average
ItalyLast 10 gamesFrance2.00Points per game2.20
1.6Goals scored per game2.1
1.0Goals conceded per game1.1
30%Over 2.5 goals40%
50%Both teams scored40%
40%Clean sheets50%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Italy
3
Draws
5
France
- 2 Oct 26France 1-1 Italy
- 17 Nov 24Italy 1-3 France
- 6 Sept 24France 1-3 Italy
- 1 Jun 18France 3-1 Italy
- 1 Sept 16Italy 1-3 France