Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
45%
The model's strongest selection is Home or Draw at 77%, above the 72% norm for this competition, and that gap is the key signal. Mexico are favoured to win outright at 48%, with Ecuador at 23%. These are model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
Mexico
Average
Ecuador
Above average
3
Mexico
4
Draws
3
Ecuador