Mexico vs Ecuador prediction, Copa America
Our pick
Under 2.5 Goals
70.4%
xG
1.0 – 0.9
Over 2.5
30%
Both score
38%
Form
Full stats →
MexicoLLDDL
EcuadorLLWDLMatch analysis
EnhancedMexico narrow favourites; Under 2.5 the strongest read
The model makes Mexico slight favourites at 38%, with a draw at 34% and Ecuador at 28%. The strongest read is Under 2.5 Goals at 70%, against a 52% norm for this competition. Expected goals are 1.04 for Mexico and 0.86 for Ecuador.
Match result
1X2Mexico38.0%
Draw33.8%
Ecuador28.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.3
Mexico
Average
5.7
Ecuador
Above average
MexicoLast 10 gamesEcuador1.70Points per game1.50
1.5Goals scored per game1.1
1.0Goals conceded per game1.0
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
30%Both teams scored40%
50%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Mexico
4
Draws
3
Ecuador
- 30 Jun 26Mexico 2-0 Ecuador
- 14 Oct 25Mexico 1-1 Ecuador
- 30 Jun 24Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
- 5 Jun 22Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
- 27 Oct 21Mexico 2-3 Ecuador