Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 1.0
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
57%
The model makes Portugal the favourite at 66%, against a 48% norm for this competition, with a 20% draw and 14% away win. Expected goals are 2.27 for Portugal and 0.98 for Croatia. Over 2.5 goals sits at 63%.
Portugal
Above average
Croatia
Average
7
Portugal
2
Draws
1
Croatia