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Mexico vs Ecuador prediction, Copa America

Copa AmericaFull time

Mexico

2-1

Sun, 1 Jul

Ecuador

Model's readMaturín
1 38%X 34%2 28%

Our pick

Under 2.5 Goals

70.4%

xG

1.0 – 0.9

Over 2.5

30%

Both score

38%

Form

Full stats →
MexicoLLDDL
EcuadorLLWDL

Match analysis

Enhanced

Mexico narrow favourites; under 2.5 goals the strongest read

Mexico are the model's narrow pick at 38% to win, against 28% for Ecuador and 34% for a draw. The stronger signal is goals: Under 2.5 comes out at 70%, well above the 52% norm in this competition. The model projects a tight, low-scoring game, though no result is guaranteed.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Mexico v Ecuador

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Mexico38.0%
Draw33.8%
Ecuador28.3%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.3

Mexico

Average

5.7

Ecuador

Above average

MexicoLast 10 gamesEcuador
1.70Points per game1.50
1.5Goals scored per game1.1
1.0Goals conceded per game1.0
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
30%Both teams scored40%
50%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score40%

Recent results

MexicoLLDDL
  • 7 OctHChile0-2
  • 4 OctAUSA0-3
  • 30 SeptHPeru1-1
  • 27 SeptHColombia1-1
  • 5 JulHEngland2-3
  • 30 JunHEcuador2-0
EcuadorLLWDL
  • 24 SeptASouth Korea0-3
  • 30 JunAMexico0-2
  • 25 JunHGermany2-1
  • 20 JunHCuraçao0-0
  • 14 JunAIvory Coast0-1
  • 7 JunHGuatemala3-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

3

Mexico

4

Draws

3

Ecuador

  • 30 Jun 26Mexico 2-0 Ecuador
  • 14 Oct 25Mexico 1-1 Ecuador
  • 30 Jun 24Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
  • 5 Jun 22Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
  • 27 Oct 21Mexico 2-3 Ecuador
Every meeting between these two →