Our pick Strong
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.1 – 2.0
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
59%
The model projects 1.12 goals for Croatia and 1.98 for Spain, giving 20% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 57% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Croatia
Average
Spain
Above average
2
Croatia
2
Draws
6
Spain