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Ecuador vs Mexico prediction, Copa America

Copa AmericaFull time

Ecuador

0-2

Wed, 30 Jun

Mexico

Model's readQuito
1 28%X 34%2 38%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

71.7%

xG

0.9 – 1.0

Over 2.5

30%

Both score

38%

Form

Full stats →
EcuadorLLWDL
MexicoLLDDL

Match analysis

Enhanced

Away or Draw (X2) is the model's strongest read

The model's strongest selection is Away or Draw at 72%, well above the 51% norm for this competition. Mexico are the most likely single result at 38%, while Ecuador's attack runs into Mexico's strong defence. Expected goals are 0.86 for Ecuador and 1.04 for Mexico.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Ecuador v Mexico

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Ecuador28.3%
Draw33.8%
Mexico38.0%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.7

Ecuador

Above average

5.3

Mexico

Average

EcuadorLast 10 gamesMexico
1.50Points per game1.70
1.1Goals scored per game1.5
1.0Goals conceded per game1.0
40%Over 2.5 goals40%
40%Both teams scored30%
30%Clean sheets50%
40%Failed to score20%

Recent results

EcuadorLLWDL
  • 24 SeptASouth Korea0-3
  • 30 JunAMexico0-2
  • 25 JunHGermany2-1
  • 20 JunHCuraçao0-0
  • 14 JunAIvory Coast0-1
  • 7 JunHGuatemala3-0
MexicoLLDDL
  • 7 OctHChile0-2
  • 4 OctAUSA0-3
  • 30 SeptHPeru1-1
  • 27 SeptHColombia1-1
  • 5 JulHEngland2-3
  • 30 JunHEcuador2-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

3

Ecuador

4

Draws

3

Mexico

  • 30 Jun 26Mexico 2-0 Ecuador
  • 14 Oct 25Mexico 1-1 Ecuador
  • 30 Jun 24Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
  • 5 Jun 22Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
  • 27 Oct 21Mexico 2-3 Ecuador
Every meeting between these two →