Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
45%
The model's strongest pick is Home or Draw for Mexico at 77%, above the 72% norm for this competition. Mexico are rated the favourites at 48% to win, with expected goals of 1.39 against 0.88 for Ecuador. Treat this as a probability, not a guarantee.
Mexico
Average
Ecuador
Above average
3
Mexico
4
Draws
3
Ecuador