Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg prediction, World Cup Qualifying UEFA
Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
79.1%
xG
1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.5
42%
Both score
46%
Form
Full stats →
Northern IrelandLWDLW
LuxembourgLLLWWMatch analysis
Model generatedNorthern Ireland favoured at 51%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.50 goals for Northern Ireland and 0.88 for Luxembourg, giving 51% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.50 - 0.88
- Clean sheet chance: Northern Ireland 42%, Luxembourg 22%
Match result
1X2Northern Ireland50.8%
Draw28.3%
Luxembourg20.9%
Model rating
All ratings →5.4
Northern Ireland
Average
4.9
Luxembourg
Average
Northern IrelandLast 10 gamesLuxembourg1.30Points per game1.20
1.0Goals scored per game0.8
1.2Goals conceded per game1.0
30%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored10%
30%Clean sheets30%
30%Failed to score60%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 9 meetings6
Northern Ireland
2
Draws
1
Luxembourg
- 17 Nov 25Northern Ireland 1-0 Luxembourg
- 4 Sept 25Luxembourg 1-3 Northern Ireland
- 18 Nov 24Luxembourg 2-2 Northern Ireland
- 5 Sept 24Northern Ireland 2-0 Luxembourg
- 25 Mar 22Luxembourg 1-3 Northern Ireland