Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction — International Friendlies

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

77.3%

xG

1.4 – 0.9

Over 2.5

39%

Both score

45%

Form

Full stats →

MexicoLLDDL

EcuadorLLWDL

Match analysis

Enhanced

Mexico or draw is the model's strongest read at 77%

The model's clearest read is Home or Draw for Mexico at 77%, against a 72% norm in this competition. Mexico are the slight favourites at 48% to win, with a draw at 29%. The gap to the norm, not the raw figure, is the strongest signal.

Match result

1X2

Mexico47.8%

Draw29.5%

Ecuador22.7%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.3

Mexico

Average

5.7

Ecuador

Above average

MexicoLast 10 games

Ecuador

1.70Points per game1.50

1.5Goals scored per game1.1

1.0Goals conceded per game1.0

40%Over 2.5 goals40%

30%Both teams scored40%

50%Clean sheets30%

20%Failed to score40%

Recent results

MexicoLLDDL

EcuadorLLWDL

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

3

Mexico

4

Draws

3

Ecuador

30 Jun 26Mexico 2-0 Ecuador
14 Oct 25Mexico 1-1 Ecuador
30 Jun 24Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
5 Jun 22Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
27 Oct 21Mexico 2-3 Ecuador

Every meeting between these two →

Mexico vs Ecuador prediction, International Friendlies

Form

Match analysis

Mexico or draw is the model's strongest read at 77%

Match result

Model rating

Recent results

Head to head

Mexico vs Ecuador prediction, International Friendlies

Form

Match analysis

Mexico or draw is the model's strongest read at 77%

Match result

Model rating

Recent results

Head to head