France vs Italy prediction, FIFA World Cup
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
75.7%
xG
1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
FranceWDWWL
ItalyWDWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedFrance favoured at 46%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.54 goals for France and 1.14 for Italy, giving 46% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.54 - 1.14
- Clean sheet chance: France 32%, Italy 21%
Match result
1X2France45.6%
Draw27.3%
Italy27.2%
Model rating
All ratings →6.5
France
Above average
6.1
Italy
Above average
FranceLast 10 gamesItaly2.20Points per game2.00
2.1Goals scored per game1.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.0
40%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored50%
50%Clean sheets40%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
France
3
Draws
2
Italy
- 2 Oct 26France 1-1 Italy
- 17 Nov 24Italy 1-3 France
- 6 Sept 24France 1-3 Italy
- 1 Jun 18France 3-1 Italy
- 1 Sept 16Italy 1-3 France