Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5
39%
Both score
45%
The model's strongest read is Home or Draw, at 77% against a 72% norm for this competition. Mexico are favoured to win at 48%, with the draw at 29%. The gap to the norm, not the raw figure, is what stands out.
Mexico
Average
Ecuador
Above average
3
Mexico
4
Draws
3
Ecuador