Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
59%
Over 1.5 goals comes out at 79%, against a 72% norm in this competition, and that gap is why it is the strongest read. Spain are slight favourites at 42% to win, with Argentina at 31% and a draw at 26%. The model expects 1.56 goals for Spain and 1.33 for Argentina.
Spain
Above average
Argentina
Strong
5
Spain
0
Draws
3
Argentina