Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 1.0
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
57%
The model makes Portugal the likely winner at 66%, with a draw at 20% and a Croatia win at 14%. It expects 2.27 goals for Portugal and 0.98 for Croatia. The home win is the strongest read because 66% is well above the 48% norm in this competition.
Portugal
Above average
Croatia
Average
7
Portugal
2
Draws
1
Croatia