Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
54%
The model makes Argentina slight favourites at 39%, with Spain at 33% and a draw at 28%. Expected goals are 1.36 for Argentina and 1.23 for Spain. Over 2.5 sits at 48%, so the goals markets offer little clear edge.
Argentina
Strong
Spain
Above average
3
Argentina
0
Draws
5
Spain