Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
59%
The model's clearest signal is over 1.5 goals at 79%, against a 72% norm in this competition. Expected goals are 1.56 for Spain and 1.33 for Argentina, a total of 2.89. Spain's home win is the most likely single outcome at 42%, but that is far from certain.
Spain
Above average
Argentina
Strong
5
Spain
0
Draws
3
Argentina