Manchester City vs Porto prediction, UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League · Group CFull time
Manchester City
3-1
Porto
Model's readEtihad Stadium
1 51%X 24%2 25%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
74.9%
xG
1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →Manchester CityWWWWWPortoWWWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedManchester City favoured at 51%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.64 goals for Manchester City and 1.08 for Porto, giving 51% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.64 - 1.08
- Clean sheet chance: Manchester City 34%, Porto 19%
Match result
1X2Manchester City50.5%
Draw24.4%
Porto25.1%
Manchester CityLast 10 gamesPorto2.50Points per game2.70
2.3Goals scored per game2.1
0.8Goals conceded per game0.6
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams scored40%
50%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score10%
Recent results
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 | Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 3 meetings2
Manchester City
1
Draws
0
Porto
- 8 Sept 26Porto 0-2 Manchester City
- 1 Dec 20Porto 0-0 Manchester City
- 21 Oct 20Manchester City 3-1 Porto