Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.3 – 1.8
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
61%
The model's strongest selection is Away or Draw at 74%, well above the 54% norm for this competition. It rates Portugal at 50% to win, with Portugal's attack meeting Croatia's weaker defence. Croatia have taken only 1.0 points a game recently, against 1.8 across the sample.
Croatia
Average
Portugal
Above average
1
Croatia
2
Draws
7
Portugal