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Spain vs Croatia prediction, UEFA European Championship

UEFA European Championship · Matchday 1Full time

Spain

3-0

Sat, 15 Jun

Croatia

Model's readBerlin
1 65%X 21%2 13%

Our pick

Home Win

65.1%

xG

2.1 – 0.9

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

51%

Form

Full stats →
SpainWWWWW
CroatiaLLLWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Spain favoured at 65%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.09 goals for Spain and 0.86 for Croatia, giving 65% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 13% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 2.09 - 0.86
  • Clean sheet chance: Spain 42%, Croatia 12%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Spain v Croatia

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Spain65.1%
Draw21.5%
Croatia13.5%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.8

Spain

Above average

5.0

Croatia

Average

SpainLast 10 gamesCroatia
3.00Points per game1.20
2.2Goals scored per game1.2
0.6Goals conceded per game2.4
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
50%Both teams scored70%
50%Clean sheets10%
0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

SpainWWWWW
  • 6 OctACroatia2-1
  • 3 OctHCzech Republic3-1
  • 29 SeptHCroatia4-1
  • 26 SeptAEngland3-2
  • 19 JulHArgentina1-0
  • 14 JulAFrance2-0
CroatiaLLLWL
  • 6 OctHSpain1-2
  • 3 OctHEngland0-7
  • 29 SeptASpain1-4
  • 26 SeptACzech Republic2-1
  • 2 JulAPortugal1-2
  • 27 JunHGhana2-1

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

6

Spain

2

Draws

2

Croatia

  • 6 Oct 26Croatia 1-2 Spain
  • 29 Sept 26Spain 4-1 Croatia
  • 15 Jun 24Spain 3-0 Croatia
  • 18 Jun 23Croatia 0-0 Spain
  • 28 Jun 21Croatia 3-3 Spain
Every meeting between these two →