Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 1.0
Over 2.5
64%
Both score
57%
The model makes Portugal the clear favourite, with a 66% home win against a 46% norm in this competition. It projects 2.30 goals for Portugal and 0.98 for Croatia. Croatia are also running colder than their season, at 1.0 points a game recently.
Portugal
Above average
Croatia
Average
7
Portugal
2
Draws
1
Croatia