Our pick
Home Win
xG
1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
41%
The model makes Spain the likeliest winner at 65%, with a 23% draw and a 12% Saudi Arabia win. Expected goals are 1.82 for Spain and 0.65 for Saudi Arabia, and the 65% sits well above the 48% norm for this competition. Probabilities are not guarantees.
Spain
Above average
Saudi Arabia
Average
4
Spain
0
Draws
0
Saudi Arabia