Our pick Strong
Home or Away (12)
xG
2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
53%
The model makes England the favourite at 62% to win, with a draw at 22% and Mexico at 15%. Expected goals are 2.03 for England and 0.92 for Mexico, and over 2.5 goals sits at 57%. The most likely scorelines are 2-0 and 1-1, each at 11%.
England
Above average
Mexico
Average
5
England
0
Draws
0
Mexico