Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
58%
The model makes Spain the most likely winner at 50%, with France at 25% and a draw at 25%. Expected goals are 1.75 for Spain and 1.19 for France. Over 2.5 goals comes in at 56%, so a fairly open game is the model's lean.
Spain
Above average
France
Above average
7
Spain
1
Draws
2
France