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Italy vs Turkey prediction, UEFA European Championship

UEFA European ChampionshipFull time

Italy

3-0

Fri, 11 Jun

Turkey

Model's readRome
1 49%X 27%2 24%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

75.9%

xG

1.6 – 1.1

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →
ItalyWDWLW
TurkeyLLLLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Italy favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.63 goals for Italy and 1.08 for Turkey, giving 49% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 24% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.63 - 1.08
  • Clean sheet chance: Italy 34%, Turkey 20%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Italy v Turkey

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Italy49.1%
Draw26.7%
Turkey24.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.1

Italy

Above average

5.0

Turkey

Average

ItalyLast 10 gamesTurkey
2.00Points per game1.20
1.6Goals scored per game1.4
1.0Goals conceded per game1.9
30%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score40%

Recent results

ItalyWDWLW
  • 5 OctHTurkey3-1
  • 2 OctAFrance1-1
  • 28 SeptATurkey4-1
  • 25 SeptHBelgium0-2
  • 7 JunAGreece1-0
  • 3 JunALuxembourg1-0
TurkeyLLLLW
  • 5 OctAItaly1-3
  • 2 OctABelgium0-3
  • 28 SeptHItaly1-4
  • 25 SeptHFrance0-1
  • 26 JunHUSA3-2
  • 25 JunAUSA3-2

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

7

Italy

3

Draws

0

Turkey

  • 5 Oct 26Italy 3-1 Turkey
  • 28 Sept 26Turkey 1-4 Italy
  • 4 Jun 24Italy 0-0 Turkey
  • 29 Mar 22Turkey 2-3 Italy
  • 11 Jun 21Turkey 0-3 Italy
Every meeting between these two →