Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
Spain are the model's slight favourite at 40%, with France on 32% and a draw on 28%. Expected goals are 1.40 for Spain and 1.23 for France, at a neutral venue. Over 2.5 goals sits at 49%, so the goals markets look close to even.
Spain
Above average
France
Above average
7
Spain
1
Draws
2
France