Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
59%
The model's strongest read is over 1.5 goals at 79%, against a 72% norm in this competition. France are the slight favourite at 41%, with Spain at 32% and a draw at 26%. Expected goals are 1.55 for France and 1.35 for Spain.
France
Above average
Spain
Above average
2
France
1
Draws
7
Spain