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Croatia vs England prediction, UEFA European Championship

UEFA European ChampionshipFull time

Croatia

2-4

Mon, 21 Jun

England

Model's readLisbon
1 16%X 21%2 63%

Our pick

Away Win

63.5%

xG

1.0 – 2.2

Over 2.5

62%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →
CroatiaLLLWL
EnglandWWWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

England favoured at 63%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.02 goals for Croatia and 2.20 for England, giving 16% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 63% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-2 at 10%
  • Expected goals: 1.02 - 2.20
  • Clean sheet chance: Croatia 11%, England 36%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Croatia v England

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Croatia15.5%
Draw21.0%
England63.5%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.0

Croatia

Average

6.9

England

Above average

CroatiaLast 10 gamesEngland
1.20Points per game2.40
1.2Goals scored per game3.0
2.4Goals conceded per game1.3
80%Over 2.5 goals80%
70%Both teams scored60%
10%Clean sheets40%
20%Failed to score0%

Recent results

CroatiaLLLWL
  • 6 OctHSpain1-2
  • 3 OctHEngland0-7
  • 29 SeptASpain1-4
  • 26 SeptACzech Republic2-1
  • 2 JulAPortugal1-2
  • 27 JunHGhana2-1
EnglandWWWLW
  • 6 OctHCzech Republic3-0
  • 3 OctACroatia7-0
  • 29 SeptACzech Republic2-0
  • 26 SeptHSpain2-3
  • 18 JulAFrance6-4
  • 15 JulHArgentina1-2

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2

Croatia

2

Draws

6

England

  • 3 Oct 26Croatia 0-7 England
  • 17 Jun 26England 4-2 Croatia
  • 13 Jun 21England 1-0 Croatia
  • 18 Nov 18England 2-1 Croatia
  • 12 Oct 18Croatia 0-0 England
Every meeting between these two →