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England vs Croatia prediction, UEFA European Championship Qualifying

UEFA European Championship QualifyingFull time

England

2-3

Wed, 21 Nov

Croatia

Model's readLondon
1 73%X 16%2 10%

Our pick ★ Strong

Home Win

73.4%

xG

2.7 – 1.0

Over 2.5

72%

Both score

59%

Form

Full stats →
EnglandWWWLW
CroatiaLLLWL

Match analysis

Model generated

England favoured at 73%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.74 goals for England and 0.99 for Croatia, giving 73% for the home win, 16% for the draw and 10% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 9%
  • Expected goals: 2.74 - 0.99
  • Clean sheet chance: England 37%, Croatia 6%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

England v Croatia

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
England73.4%
Draw16.1%
Croatia10.5%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.9

England

Above average

5.0

Croatia

Average

EnglandLast 10 gamesCroatia
2.40Points per game1.20
3.0Goals scored per game1.2
1.3Goals conceded per game2.4
80%Over 2.5 goals80%
60%Both teams scored70%
40%Clean sheets10%
0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

EnglandWWWLW
  • 6 OctHCzech Republic3-0
  • 3 OctACroatia7-0
  • 29 SeptACzech Republic2-0
  • 26 SeptHSpain2-3
  • 18 JulAFrance6-4
  • 15 JulHArgentina1-2
CroatiaLLLWL
  • 6 OctHSpain1-2
  • 3 OctHEngland0-7
  • 29 SeptASpain1-4
  • 26 SeptACzech Republic2-1
  • 2 JulAPortugal1-2
  • 27 JunHGhana2-1

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

6

England

2

Draws

2

Croatia

  • 3 Oct 26Croatia 0-7 England
  • 17 Jun 26England 4-2 Croatia
  • 13 Jun 21England 1-0 Croatia
  • 18 Nov 18England 2-1 Croatia
  • 12 Oct 18Croatia 0-0 England
Every meeting between these two →