Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
48%
Both score
54%
Spain are the model's pick at 40%, ahead of France on 32% and a draw on 28%. Expected goals are 1.38 for Spain and 1.22 for France, at a neutral venue with no home advantage applied. Treat this as a narrow edge, not a sure thing.
Spain
Above average
France
Above average
7
Spain
1
Draws
2
France