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England vs Mexico prediction, FIFA World Cup

FIFA World Cup · Matchday 2Full time

England

2-0

Sat, 16 Jul

Mexico

Model's read
1 52%X 27%2 21%

Our pick ★ Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

78.6%

xG

1.6 – 1.0

Over 2.5

47%

Both score

50%

Form

Full stats →
EnglandWWWLW
MexicoLLDDL

Match analysis

Model generated

England favoured at 52%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.62 goals for England and 0.96 for Mexico, giving 52% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 21% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.62 - 0.96
  • Clean sheet chance: England 38%, Mexico 20%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

England v Mexico

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
England51.9%
Draw26.8%
Mexico21.4%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.9

England

Above average

5.3

Mexico

Average

EnglandLast 10 gamesMexico
2.40Points per game1.70
3.0Goals scored per game1.5
1.3Goals conceded per game1.0
80%Over 2.5 goals40%
60%Both teams scored30%
40%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score20%

Recent results

EnglandWWWLW
  • 6 OctHCzech Republic3-0
  • 3 OctACroatia7-0
  • 29 SeptACzech Republic2-0
  • 26 SeptHSpain2-3
  • 18 JulAFrance6-4
  • 15 JulHArgentina1-2
MexicoLLDDL
  • 7 OctHChile0-2
  • 4 OctAUSA0-3
  • 30 SeptHPeru1-1
  • 27 SeptHColombia1-1
  • 5 JulHEngland2-3
  • 30 JunHEcuador2-0

Head to head

Last 5 meetings

5

England

0

Draws

0

Mexico

  • 5 Jul 26Mexico 2-3 England
  • 24 May 10England 3-1 Mexico
  • 25 May 01England 4-0 Mexico
  • 29 Mar 97England 2-0 Mexico
  • 16 Jul 66England 2-0 Mexico
Every meeting between these two →