Spain vs England prediction, FIFA World Cup
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
75.6%
xG
1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
55%
Form
Full stats →
SpainWWWWW
EnglandWWWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedSpain favoured at 39%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.39 goals for Spain and 1.28 for England, giving 39% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.39 - 1.28
- Clean sheet chance: Spain 28%, England 25%
Match result
1X2Spain38.7%
Draw27.9%
England33.4%
Model rating
All ratings →6.8
Spain
Above average
6.9
England
Above average
SpainLast 10 gamesEngland3.00Points per game2.40
2.2Goals scored per game3.0
0.6Goals conceded per game1.3
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
50%Both teams scored60%
50%Clean sheets40%
0%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
Spain
1
Draws
2
England
- 26 Sept 26England 2-3 Spain
- 14 Jul 24Spain 2-1 England
- 15 Oct 18Spain 2-3 England
- 8 Sept 18England 1-2 Spain
- 15 Nov 16England 2-2 Spain