Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
58%
The model projects 1.81 goals for Spain and 1.15 for Belgium, giving 52% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Spain
Above average
Belgium
Above average
8
Spain
2
Draws
0
Belgium