England vs Spain prediction, UEFA European Championship
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
67.7%
xG
1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →
EnglandWWWLW
SpainWWWWWMatch analysis
Model generatedSpain favoured at 40%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.27 goals for England and 1.43 for Spain, giving 32% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.27 - 1.43
- Clean sheet chance: England 24%, Spain 28%
Match result
1X2England32.3%
Draw28.0%
Spain39.7%
Model rating
All ratings →6.9
England
Above average
6.8
Spain
Above average
EnglandLast 10 gamesSpain2.40Points per game3.00
3.0Goals scored per game2.2
1.3Goals conceded per game0.6
80%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
England
1
Draws
7
Spain
- 26 Sept 26England 2-3 Spain
- 14 Jul 24Spain 2-1 England
- 15 Oct 18Spain 2-3 England
- 8 Sept 18England 1-2 Spain
- 15 Nov 16England 2-2 Spain