Italy vs Northern Ireland prediction, World Cup Qualifying UEFA
Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
77.3%
xG
1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
50%
Form
Full stats →
ItalyWDWLW
Northern IrelandLWDLWMatch analysis
Model generatedItaly favoured at 61%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.90 goals for Italy and 0.87 for Northern Ireland, giving 61% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 16% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.90 - 0.87
- Clean sheet chance: Italy 42%, Northern Ireland 15%
Match result
1X2Italy60.5%
Draw23.7%
Northern Ireland15.8%
Model rating
All ratings →6.1
Italy
Above average
5.4
Northern Ireland
Average
ItalyLast 10 gamesNorthern Ireland2.00Points per game1.30
1.6Goals scored per game1.0
1.0Goals conceded per game1.2
30%Over 2.5 goals30%
50%Both teams scored40%
40%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 8 meetings6
Italy
2
Draws
0
Northern Ireland
- 26 Mar 26Italy 2-0 Northern Ireland
- 15 Nov 21Northern Ireland 0-0 Italy
- 25 Mar 21Italy 2-0 Northern Ireland
- 11 Oct 11Italy 3-0 Northern Ireland
- 8 Oct 10Northern Ireland 0-0 Italy