Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
The model projects 1.43 goals for Spain and 1.19 for Belgium, giving 42% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Spain
Above average
Belgium
Above average
8
Spain
2
Draws
0
Belgium