Northern Ireland vs Italy prediction, UEFA European Championship Qualifying
Northern Ireland
0-0
Italy
Model's readBelfast
1 27%X 28%2 45%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
72.7%
xG
1.1 – 1.5
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
Northern IrelandLWDLW
ItalyWDWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedItaly favoured at 45%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.13 goals for Northern Ireland and 1.50 for Italy, giving 27% for the home win, 28% for the draw and 45% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.13 - 1.50
- Clean sheet chance: Northern Ireland 22%, Italy 32%
Match result
1X2Northern Ireland27.3%
Draw27.9%
Italy44.8%
Model rating
All ratings →5.4
Northern Ireland
Average
6.1
Italy
Above average
Northern IrelandLast 10 gamesItaly1.30Points per game2.00
1.0Goals scored per game1.6
1.2Goals conceded per game1.0
30%Over 2.5 goals30%
40%Both teams scored50%
30%Clean sheets40%
30%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 8 meetings0
Northern Ireland
2
Draws
6
Italy
- 26 Mar 26Italy 2-0 Northern Ireland
- 15 Nov 21Northern Ireland 0-0 Italy
- 25 Mar 21Italy 2-0 Northern Ireland
- 11 Oct 11Italy 3-0 Northern Ireland
- 8 Oct 10Northern Ireland 0-0 Italy