Our pick Strong
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.3 – 2.2
Over 2.5
67%
Both score
65%
The model projects 1.28 goals for Croatia and 2.17 for England, giving 21% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 57% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Croatia
Average
England
Above average
2
Croatia
2
Draws
6
England