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Turkey vs Italy prediction, UEFA European Championship

UEFA European Championship · Matchday 1Full time

Turkey

0-3

Fri, 11 Jun

Italy

Model's readStadio Olimpico
1 24%X 27%2 49%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

75.9%

xG

1.1 – 1.6

Over 2.5

51%

Both score

54%

Form

Full stats →
TurkeyLLLLW
ItalyWDWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Italy favoured at 49%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.08 goals for Turkey and 1.63 for Italy, giving 24% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 49% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 5145 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.08 - 1.63
  • Clean sheet chance: Turkey 20%, Italy 34%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Turkey v Italy

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Turkey24.1%
Draw26.7%
Italy49.1%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.0

Turkey

Average

6.1

Italy

Above average

TurkeyLast 10 gamesItaly
1.20Points per game2.00
1.4Goals scored per game1.6
1.9Goals conceded per game1.0
70%Over 2.5 goals30%
50%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets40%
40%Failed to score10%

Recent results

TurkeyLLLLW
  • 5 OctAItaly1-3
  • 2 OctABelgium0-3
  • 28 SeptHItaly1-4
  • 25 SeptHFrance0-1
  • 26 JunHUSA3-2
  • 25 JunAUSA3-2
ItalyWDWLW
  • 5 OctHTurkey3-1
  • 2 OctAFrance1-1
  • 28 SeptATurkey4-1
  • 25 SeptHBelgium0-2
  • 7 JunAGreece1-0
  • 3 JunALuxembourg1-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

0

Turkey

3

Draws

7

Italy

  • 5 Oct 26Italy 3-1 Turkey
  • 28 Sept 26Turkey 1-4 Italy
  • 4 Jun 24Italy 0-0 Turkey
  • 29 Mar 22Turkey 2-3 Italy
  • 11 Jun 21Turkey 0-3 Italy
Every meeting between these two →