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Turkey vs Italy prediction, International Friendlies

International Friendlies · Round 1Full time

Turkey

2-3

Tue, 29 Mar

Italy

Model's readKonya
1 33%X 26%2 41%

Our pick ★ Strong

Over 1.5 Goals

79.8%

xG

1.4 – 1.5

Over 2.5

56%

Both score

60%

Form

Full stats →
TurkeyLLLLW
ItalyWDWLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Italy favoured at 41%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.37 goals for Turkey and 1.55 for Italy, giving 33% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 41% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
  • Expected goals: 1.37 - 1.55
  • Clean sheet chance: Turkey 21%, Italy 25%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Turkey v Italy

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Turkey32.9%
Draw26.4%
Italy40.7%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.0

Turkey

Average

6.1

Italy

Above average

TurkeyLast 10 gamesItaly
1.20Points per game2.00
1.4Goals scored per game1.6
1.9Goals conceded per game1.0
70%Over 2.5 goals30%
50%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets40%
40%Failed to score10%

Recent results

TurkeyLLLLW
  • 5 OctAItaly1-3
  • 2 OctABelgium0-3
  • 28 SeptHItaly1-4
  • 25 SeptHFrance0-1
  • 26 JunHUSA3-2
  • 25 JunAUSA3-2
ItalyWDWLW
  • 5 OctHTurkey3-1
  • 2 OctAFrance1-1
  • 28 SeptATurkey4-1
  • 25 SeptHBelgium0-2
  • 7 JunAGreece1-0
  • 3 JunALuxembourg1-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

0

Turkey

3

Draws

7

Italy

  • 5 Oct 26Italy 3-1 Turkey
  • 28 Sept 26Turkey 1-4 Italy
  • 4 Jun 24Italy 0-0 Turkey
  • 29 Mar 22Turkey 2-3 Italy
  • 11 Jun 21Turkey 0-3 Italy
Every meeting between these two →